Why Blue Jays vs. Alonso makes sense — and is being talked about

• Alonso opted out of his Mets contract after the 2025 season, making him a free agent.

• Some analysis argues that if Toronto “misses out” on its top free-agent target, they still would have the payroll flexibility to pursue Alonso.

• The idea of pairing Alonso’s power bat with Blue Jays’ existing core — for instance along with Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — has been floated as one of the few scenarios worth pursuing, because it could give Toronto a very formidable middle-of-the-lineup.

 Why it’s far from done — roadblocks & competing realities

• Recent official statements from the Mets’ front office indicate they currently do not have plans to meet with Alonso at the ongoing winter meetings.

• In the most recent trade-rumor breakdown involving Blue Jays + Mets, the proposal envisioned sending Ronny Mauricio + two pitchers and an outfielder to New York — but not Alonso. That proposal assumed the Mets re-sign someone else and doesn’t guarantee Alonso goes anywhere.

• Even among Blue Jays fans/analysts, there’s skepticism — for example, one recent trade-idea article suggests Blue Jays may instead aim to land a reliever or other assets before committing major resources to a big slugger.

What’s happening now (offseason context)

• The offseason’s “hot stove” — especially around the 2025 MLB Winter Meetings — has many teams evaluating their budgets and strategic direction.

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• Meanwhile, the Mets appear to be shifting focus toward pitching and bullpen upgrades rather than committing long-term to first base if Alonso walks away.

• Alonso remains among the top free-agent first basemen on the market.

My take — Blue Jays “in the mix,” but not a done deal

Yes — the Blue Jays remain one of the more realistic “landing spots” for Alonso if he departs the Mets. The fit makes sense: power bat, need for middle-of-order offense, payroll flexibility. That said: the current public signals point toward caution. The Mets haven’t pushed negotiations publicly, and no formal trade or contract has been announced.

If I were a betting fan: I’d say there’s maybe a 25–40% chance Alonso ends up in Toronto. More likely, he waits for better offers or teams outside the Blue Jays/Mets axis.

If you like — I can run through 3–5 of the most plausible landing spots for Alonso right now (with pros/cons) — might help you gauge how realistic Blue Jays really are.